Before we proceed with further exploration of the K-Trend
Indicator let me share with you my Trading system based on the K-Trend
Indicator. It was one of my early Indicators developed during my early days of
TA journey.
The system is a simple Reversible one. The rules are follows
BUY Setup
When the momentum turns positive from negative, In other
words when the K-Trend Indicator is negative and changes from negative to
positive.
Buy setup = KT < 0 and KT (today) > KT (Yesterday)
The setup condition remains active for 6 Bars
Entry
Enter when the value is above the High of the Buy setup Bar+0.5
times a 5 bar Average True range.
Buy = High(Buy setup bar) + (0.5 x ATR(5) ) . In fact the value 0.5 is adjustable.
Exit setup
When the momentum turns negative from Positives, In other words
when the K-Trend Indicator is positive and changes from positive to negative.
Exit setup = KT >0 and KT (today)<KT (Yesterday)
Exit
Exit when the value is below the Low of the Exit setup Bar-0.5
times a 5 bar the Average True range.
Exit = Low(Exit setup Bar) – (0.5 x ATR(5))
After experimenting I found that many trades were missed because the
Ktrend quickly crossed above or below the zero line in less than 6 bars and the
value was still less/more than the entry/exit threshold values and the stock went on to make big moves. So I added further conditions to take care of these opportunities as well. The revised
Entry and Exit condition are as follows
Entry
Buy = High(Buy setup bar) + (0.5 x ATR(5) ) OR KT
cross above +40
Exit
Exit = Low(Exit setup Bar) – (0.5 x ATR(5)) OR KT
cross below -40
I
found that the system was able to catch the big Trends and losses were quite
limited in the sideways moves. The
system was useful for stocks which had the tendency to have some trends and useless
for stocks which moved sideways most of the times.
The system has the facility to set the ATR multiplication
factor which has a default value of 0.5.
Also one can set the traded quantity so the current Profit/Loss
situation is indicated exactly.
A
quick backtest on the Nifty (The Indian stock Index) is provided below.
The System can be downloaded and tested if one likes from the below link. Looking forward to feed backs..
Great Study nowadays
ReplyDeletemy observation in this study please change the exit strategy using Bs volume trend reversal indicator and re entry option also need. Most of time more profit missed.
ReplyDeletesir How can i get vchannel indicator
ReplyDeleteVchannel Indicator? Can you provide any reference/link?
ReplyDeleteSir
DeleteThe one you've used in upper panel along with regularized RSI
http://karthikmarar.blogspot.com/2013/05/regularized-indicators-part-2.html
Dear Sir
DeleteStill waiting for your reply.
Regards
Sir Is possible to make a TRADING SYSTEM using this MULTICYCLE indicator http://www.wisestocktrader.com/indicators/1545-multicycle-1-0
ReplyDeleteAmitabha, It was one of my experimental Indicators. LaterI found that it was looking to the future and did not proceed with it...
ReplyDeleteRegards
Dear Sir,
DeleteThanks for your reply. Can you suggest any indicator that is good for option trading.
Regards
Dear Sir
ReplyDeleteCan you suggest any good indicator/system for option trading?
Regards
Sir,
ReplyDeletemax drawdown -37%.i think this code need to be modified or need to be used with other analysis.
thanks
Dear Sir,
ReplyDeleteI can't download file K-Trend System from 4shared.com.
The file link that you requested is not valid.
pls reupload file K-Trend System.
thanks,
Sir "The K-Trend System - I" is not available for download is the system backfired ??
ReplyDeleteI need this AFL
"Amitabha, It was one of my experimental Indicators. LaterI found that it was looking to the future and did not proceed with it.."
ReplyDeleteSir what do you mean by it was looking to the future and did not proceed with it.
I am getting some good result. are they wrong
hi pl reply
DeleteLet me explain the basic principle how most Forex systems work. They are tuned
ReplyDeleteup to work in a specific market condition. They often make money in a trending
market, but loose money in a choppy market. It is not a problem as long as the
market is trending and the system is making more money than it loses. Such a
system can be profitable for several months and you would be happy with it. BUT...
PREPARE FOR THE WORST...
Market change over time. A well designed system starts with trend analysis to
stay away from potentially losing trades. There are two problems of how a Forex
system recognizes the trend.
PROBLEM: FALSE "STRONG TREND" INDICATION.
The system responds only to immediate price action. An explosive price
movement that is usually the result of news release is tempting people to jump in
and make a profit. It looks like a "strong trend", but what usually happens next is a
hard fall.
To avoid falling into this trap, check for the SOLUTION to find a REAL trend:
==> http://www.forextrendy.com?nsjjd92834
SECOND PROBLEM: TREND RELIABILITY
Most systems use various indicators to determine the trend. Actually, there is
nothing bad about using indicators. One Simply Moving Average can do the job.
The problem comes with the question: "Is the market trending NOW?" Whether the
market is trending or not trending is not like black and white. The correct question
is: "How well the market is trending?"
And here we have something called TREND RELIABILITY.
Trends exist and they can be traded up and down for a profit. You have to focus
only on the most reliable market trends. "Forex Trendy" is a software solution to
find the BEST trending currency pairs, time frames and compute the trend
reliability for each Forex chart:
==> http://www.forextrendy.com?nsjjd92834
Hello
ReplyDeleteIs there k-Trend version with exploration function?
It is a great indicator, would be great to scan stocks for buy/sell.
Cheers
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